THE LOW BLOCK

How AI Sees the FQPL 3 Ladder

April 6, 2026

Using last season’s ladder, promotion and relegation changes, and detailed match timelines from the opening rounds, we built an AI-based projection of how FQPL 3 could finish. Rather than just looking at results, this analysis focuses on how games have actually unfolded — including strength of schedule, attacking output, and how well teams have handled tougher opposition.

FQPL 3
Projected Final Ladder 2026
1
AC Carina
2
Newmarket
3
Logan Roos
4
Moggill FC
5
Yeronga Eagles
6
Springfield United
7
North Lakes United
8
UQFC
9
Mt Gravatt Hawks
10
North Brisbane FC
11
Ipswich Knights
12
North Pine
13
Redcliffe Dolphins
AC Carina action shot

What the data suggests

AC Carina and Newmarket project as the strongest sides once fixture difficulty is accounted for, with Logan Roos and Moggill not far behind. Further down, several teams have shown enough quality to stay competitive, but strength of schedule and defensive control look like the main factors separating the true contenders from the rest.

1

AC Carina

AC Carina have shown the most complete profile so far, combining strong attacking output with consistent control against a solid mix of opposition. Their performances suggest a team that can sustain results regardless of opponent strength, which is typically what separates the top side from the rest.

2

Newmarket

Newmarket’s position is slightly understated due to fewer games played, but their results — including a strong win over Logan Roos — suggest a team that remains highly competitive. Their overall balance and consistency point toward a strong finish.

3

Logan Roos

Logan Roos have likely had one of the tougher starts in the league, already facing multiple top-half sides. Despite that, they’ve remained competitive and picked up key wins, which suggests their current position undervalues their true level over a full season.

4

Moggill FC

Moggill have produced some of the most dominant attacking performances in the league, but a slightly softer run of fixtures has helped boost those numbers. While clearly a strong side, they may drop slightly as the schedule becomes more demanding.

5

Yeronga Eagles

Yeronga have one of the highest ceilings in the league, shown through some very strong wins, but their performances have fluctuated more than the teams above them. That inconsistency likely keeps them just outside the top four.

6

Springfield United

Springfield’s results show a team capable of strong performances, but their form has varied depending on the opposition. As fixtures become more balanced, they look more likely to settle in the middle rather than push higher.

7

North Lakes United

North Lakes are probably the most underrated side based on the current table. As a relegated team, they’ve faced a reasonably tough run and are already showing signs of improvement, suggesting they will climb into a stable mid-table position.

8

UQFC

UQFC have been involved in open, high-scoring matches, showing attacking ability but also defensive vulnerability. That balance usually leads to inconsistent results, which fits a mid-table outcome.

9

Mt Gravatt Hawks

Mt Gravatt have shown they can compete but haven’t consistently controlled matches. Their results suggest a team that will remain competitive without making a significant push up the ladder.

10

North Brisbane FC

North Brisbane have picked up some positive results but have also been exposed by stronger attacking teams. That inconsistency points toward a lower-half finish.

11

Ipswich Knights

Ipswich have had a challenging run of fixtures and struggled to consistently deal with stronger opposition. While they remain competitive in patches, their overall trend suggests a finish toward the bottom third.

12

North Pine

North Pine have shown glimpses of competitiveness but continue to struggle defensively across multiple matches. That lack of stability makes it difficult to see them climbing significantly.

13

Redcliffe Dolphins

Redcliffe’s early performances show a side conceding heavily and struggling against most opposition. Based on current trends, they appear likely to remain at the bottom.

What the data is really showing

The biggest separator in FQPL 3 isn’t just attacking quality — it’s how teams perform against stronger opposition. Sides that have already navigated tougher fixtures while still picking up points are far more likely to sustain their position over the season.

At the same time, teams benefiting from softer early runs are likely to regress as the schedule evens out, which is why the projected ladder differs from the current table.

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