THE LOW BLOCK

How AI Sees the FQPL 2 Ladder

April 6, 2026

Using last season’s ladder, team changes, and detailed match timelines from the opening rounds, we built an AI-based projection of how FQPL 2 could finish. Rather than just looking at results, this analysis focuses on how games have actually unfolded — including strength of schedule, consistency against top sides, and how teams perform across different match contexts.

FQPL 2
Projected Final Ladder 2026
1
Moreton City Excelsior
2
Taringa Rovers
3
Souths United
4
SWQ Thunder
5
Caloundra FC
6
Grange Thistle
7
Brisbane Knights
8
Samford Rangers
9
Mitchelton FC
10
Virginia United
11
Southside Eagles
12
Pine Hills
Moreton City Excelsior action shot

What the data suggests

Moreton City still rate as the strongest side once fixture difficulty is accounted for, with Taringa and Souths showing the strongest consistency underneath them. Further down, the gap between mid-table and lower-table sides looks more about control and game management than outright talent.

1

Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City still project as the strongest side across a full season despite a mixed start, largely due to the difficulty of their early fixtures and the level of opposition faced. Their attacking output and ability to dominate games remain among the best in the league, and over time that profile typically rises to the top.

2

Taringa Rovers

Taringa have been one of the most controlled and consistent teams so far, particularly in tighter matches where they’ve managed results well. Their ability to avoid losses and grind out points is a strong indicator of a team that can sustain a promotion push.

3

Souths United

Souths have quietly built one of the more impressive profiles in the league, including strong results against quality opposition. Their performances suggest a side that is more structured and difficult to break down than most, which positions them well for a top-four finish.

4

SWQ Thunder

SWQ Thunder have shown strong balance early on, with solid defensive performances and the ability to compete across different game types. Their results suggest a team capable of staying in the finals race, even if they don’t quite match the top tier over the full season.

5

Caloundra FC

Caloundra have been involved in high-scoring matches and shown clear attacking quality, but their results have fluctuated depending on opposition strength. That profile usually leads to a mid-table finish rather than a sustained top-four push.

6

Grange Thistle

Grange have shown they can compete with stronger sides but haven’t consistently controlled matches. Their performances suggest a team that will remain competitive but slightly inconsistent across the season.

7

Brisbane Knights

Brisbane Knights have produced a mix of solid and inconsistent performances, showing they can compete but struggling to maintain that level week-to-week. That variability likely keeps them around mid-table.

8

Samford Rangers

Samford have shown flashes of competitiveness but have also been exposed by stronger attacking teams. Their results suggest a team that will pick up points but not consistently enough to push higher.

9

Mitchelton FC

Mitchelton have been competitive in most matches but have struggled to turn performances into wins, particularly against stronger opposition. That pattern typically results in a lower-mid-table finish.

10

Virginia United

Virginia’s results indicate a side that can compete but lacks consistency, particularly defensively. Their performances against stronger teams suggest they may struggle to climb significantly higher.

11

Southside Eagles

Southside have remained competitive in patches but have struggled to maintain control across full matches. That inconsistency is likely to keep them in the lower part of the table.

12

Pine Hills

Pine Hills have found it difficult to generate consistent attacking output and have been under pressure defensively in multiple matches. Based on current trends, they appear most likely to finish at the bottom.

What the data is really showing

The biggest takeaway in FQPL 2 is how much fixture difficulty has already distorted the table. Teams that have faced stronger opposition early — particularly Moreton City — are likely undervalued right now, while others benefiting from softer starts may regress.

The teams that consistently manage tight games and avoid losses are emerging as the most reliable indicators of long-term success, which is why the projected ladder differs from the current standings.

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