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Read moreQUEENSLAND MEN'S FOOTBALL · THE LOW BLOCK DATA FEATURE
When do goals really happen in Queensland football?
Across 7,083 reliably timed goals, the closer a match gets to full-time, the more dangerous it becomes.
THE BUSIEST WINDOW
76–90
1,497 GOALS · 21.1%
THE PATTERN
The goal threat keeps building
Queensland football does not spread its goals evenly across 90 minutes. The opening quarter-hour is the quietest period in the dataset, while the final 15 minutes are comfortably the busiest.
That makes the clock itself part of the story. As matches move deeper into the second half, the scoring rate rises — and for some clubs, late goals have become a defining part of their attack.
THE GOAL PULSE
Six windows. One clear direction.
FIRST HALF44.7%
→
SECOND HALF55.3%
The increase is not perfectly linear, but the overall direction is clear. The match becomes more productive as it progresses, with the biggest jump arriving in the final quarter-hour.
THE HOT MINUTES
The four busiest normal regulation minutes
45' and 90' are excluded because the source can fold stoppage-time goals into those values.
Three of the four busiest normal regulation minutes sit in the final 20 minutes, reinforcing the broader late-game trend.
NEWMARKET · FQPL 3 METRO
No club has scored more goals from 76–90.
Exactly one quarter of Newmarket's 88 reliably timed goals arrived in the final 15 minutes.
THE LATE-GOAL CLUB WALL
Who keeps scoring late?
Raw late-goal totals first. Then the clubs with the biggest late-goal share.
MOST GOALS FROM 76–90
NERIMBERA2034.5% of all timed goals
BURLEIGH HEADS2027.0%
LOGAN VILLAGE2024.1%
HOLLAND PARK1928.4%
MACKAY RANGERS1926.0%
HIGHEST LATE-GOAL SHARE · MINIMUM 40 TIMED GOALS
NERIMBERA20 of 58
34.5%
LOGAN ROOS16 of 47
34.0%
PENINSULA POWER16 of 48
33.3%
MORETON CITY15 of 47
31.9%
GRANGE THISTLE15 of 48
31.3%
Nerimbera stand out on both measures: equal-second for raw late-goal volume and first for late-goal share among teams with at least 40 reliably timed goals. Logan Roos, Peninsula Power, Moreton City and Grange Thistle also have more than 30% of their timed goals arriving after the 75th minute.
THE NPL LATE-GOAL DUO
Power and Moreton City are both above 30%
PENINSULA POWER
33.3%
16 of 48
MORETON CITY
31.9%
15 of 47
NPL Queensland as a whole sits second statewide for late scoring, with 23.4% of timed goals arriving from 76–90.
THE LATE INDEX
The four competitions with the highest late-goal share
FQPL 1 is the only competition in the analysis where more than a quarter of reliably timed goals have arrived in the final 15 minutes.
DO LATE GOALS ACTUALLY MATTER?
412 immediately changed a draw or a one-goal deficit
Among 1,496 late goals where score state is reliable.
IMMEDIATE SCORE-STATE SWINGS
412
27.5%
DRAW
→
LEAD
238
go-ahead goals
1 DOWN
→
LEVEL
174
equalisers
7,083 / 7,241eligible goals reliably timed
97.82%goal-timing coverage
45+X / 90+Xnot treated as exact stoppage-time records
THE FINAL 15
The later the game gets, the more the numbers tell you to keep watching.
Across Queensland's 2026 men's competitions, the final quarter-hour is where the scoring story reaches its peak.
